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person’s recent behavior relates to the risk of reoffending, but behavior in the distant past is not
related.
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People convicted of either a sex offense or a non-sex offense desist from criminal
behavior as they age and live in the community offense-free.
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R. Karl Hanson, an
expert in the field of sex offenses, in his 2018 article concludes that desistance is the norm:
“A criminal conviction, however, is a time-dependent risk factor. During the past decade, researchers
have examined desistance using statistical models of residual hazards. These studies find that after
about 10 years offense-free (5 years for juveniles), the risk presented by most individuals with a
criminal record is not meaningfully different from that of the general population. Similar time-free
effects are found for both sexual and nonsexual offenses.”
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Therefore, a person who lives in the community offense-free for some period of time after a
conviction, is not riskier to public safety than someone who has never had a conviction.
Consequently, public safety is not enhanced by giving a longer sentence to a person with a long-ago
conviction. Washington state recognizes that desistance is the norm for people convicted of a Class C
and/or Class B non-sex offense. If a person convicted of a Class C non-sex offense, lives in the
community five years offense-free, that conviction is not counted in the criminal history score for
any future offense. It is “washed out.” Similarly, if a person convicted of a Class B non-sex offense,
lives in the community ten years offense-free, that conviction will wash out and will not count in the
criminal history score for any future offense.
However, currently, Washington state does not allow any sex offense to wash out, which is
inconsistent with well- documented research: people convicted of a sex offense desist from criminal
behavior with time and eventually pose no more risk than someone from the general population.
We’ve learned from the research that public safety is not enhanced by giving a person with a long-
ago, sex offense conviction a longer sentence than others. The only reason to give a person with a
long-ago sex offense conviction a longer sentence is to enact retribution. We acknowledge that other
current Washington state laws include a blanket exclusion for people convicted of a sex offense. For
example, a sex offense conviction makes a person ineligible for the First Time Offender Waiver and
all other sentencing alternatives except for SSOSA (available only to certain people). Similarly,
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Kurlychek, M., Brame, R., & Bushway, S. (2006). Scarlet letters and recidivism: Does an old criminal record predict
future offending? Criminology & Public Policy, 5(3): 483-504. http://clerk.seattle.gov/~cfpics/cf_320351g.pdf
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Kurlychek, M., Brame, R., & Bushway, S. (2006). Enduring risk? Old criminal records and short-term predictions of
criminal involvement. Crime & Delinquency, 53(1): 1-24. doi: 10.1177/0011128706294439
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Bushway, S. , Thornberry, T., & Krohn, M. (2003). Desistance as a developmental process: A comparison of static
and dynamic approaches. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 19(2), 129-153. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023050103707
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Bushway, S. D. & Piehl, A. M. (2007). The inextricable link between age and criminal history in sentencing. Crime &
Delinquency, 53(1): 156-183.doi: 10.1177/0011128706294444
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Blumstein, A. & Nakamura, K. (2009). Redemption in the presence of widespread criminal background checks.
Criminology, 4(2): 327-359. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2009.00155.x
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Soothill, K. & Francis B. (2009). When do ex-offenders become like non-offenders. The Howard Journal of Criminal
Justice, 48(4): 373-387. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2311.2009.00576.x
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Hanson, R., Letourneau, E., Harris, A., Helmus, L., & Thornton, D. (2017). Reductions in risk based on time offense-
free in the community: Once a sexual offender, not always a sexual offender. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 24(1): 48-
63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/law0000135
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Hanson, R. K. (2018). Long-term recidivism studies show that desistance is the norm. Criminal Justice and Behavior,
45(9). https://doi.org/10.1177/0093854818793382