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2007] INCENTIVE, VISIBILITY AND ERROR 107
have been particularly harsh, including freezing, without providing notice,
nearly 1.6 million low-income taxpayers’ refunds over a four-year period
under the IRS’s “Questionable Refund Program.”
3
9
Given that the IRS’s compliance efforts are at times overbroad and may
deter or discourage eligible taxpayers,
40
policymakers should consider
administrative or legislative changes that, on an ex ante basis, decrease the
incentives or opportunities for potentially noncompliant EITC claimants. It
is not a terrific stretch to make the analogy between delivering an EITC-
generated refund through a self-identifying tax return and delivering bagels
in a snack room with an unattended cash box.
41
Unlike other benefits
programs with extensive and almost universal pre-eligibility screening
tests,
42
to receive the EITC, taxpayers complete and file a tax return, and
unless the taxpayer is one of the roughly 2% audited, the low-wage worker
receives a benefit of up to $4,536 without consideration of eligibility.
43
In
other programs, like food stamps,
4
4
error rates are tolerable, with over-
payments hovering at or below 5%.
4
5
The most recent comprehensive
study indicates that following IRS compliance efforts, approximately 27%
to 32% of the EITC dollars still were claimed erroneously.
46
The EITC’s
See Amy Mulzer, Note, The Doorkeeper and the Grand Inquisitor: The Central Role of
Verification Procedures in Means-Tested Welfare Programs, 36 COLUM. HUM. RTS. L. REV.
663, 709 (2005) (discussing the use of computer matching as primary verification in the
Medicaid program).
39. David Cay Johnston, IRS Move Said to Hurt the Poor, N.Y. TIMES, Jan. 11, 2006, at
C1.
40. See Leslie Book, The IRS’s EITC Compliance Regime: Taxpayers Caught in the
Net, 81 OR. L. REV. 351, 391 (2002) (describing these eligible taxpayers’ sense of defeat,
despite the option of challenging the IRS’s denial of their eligibility in court).
41. See LEVITT & DUBNER, supra note 6, at 45-48 (detailing the design of this bagel
business and its rate of success).
42. See Mulzer, supra note 38, at 663-65 (discussing the role of eligibility restrictions,
benefit levels, and application procedures for means-tested social welfare programs).
43. See INTERNAL REVENUE SERV., DEP’T OF THE TREASURY, PUBLICATION 596:
EARNED INCOME CREDIT (EIC) (2006), http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p596.pdf [hereinafter
IRS 596] (providing guidance for taxpayers on how to apply for Earned Income Credit tax
benefits); INTERNAL REVENUE SERV., DEP’T OF THE TREASURY, EITC THRESHOLDS AND TAX
LAW UPDATES, http://www.irs.gov/individuals/article/0,,id=150513,00.html (last visited
Mar. 24, 2007) [hereinafter IRS THRESHOLDS] (listing maximum benefits for taxpayers in
tax years 2005, 2006, and 2007).
44. For a discussion of changes to the administration of the food stamp program,
including efforts to target incorrect claimants, see David A. Super, The Quiet “Welfare”
Revolution: Resurrecting the Food Stamp Program in the Wake of the 1996 Welfare Law,
79 N.Y.U. L. REV. 1271, 1377 (2004) (discussing that in some states a third or more of food
stamp applicants and recipients are investigated for fraud, even if the state does not have
probable cause to believe that an applicant or recipient participated in any wrongdoing).
More traditional benefits programs have intrusive and detailed verification procedures,
including home visits and the direct contacting of third-party witnesses. Id. at 1376-77.
45. See Dorothy Rosenbaum, Food Stamp Error Rates Hold at Record Low Levels in
2005, CENTER ON BUDGET & POL’Y PRIORITIES, July 11, 2006, http://www.cbpp.org/6-30-
04fa.htm (detailing overall trends in food stamp error rates and their implications and
possible causes).
46. INTERNAL REVENUE SERV., DEP’T OF THE TREASURY, EITC REFORM INITIATIVE